Showing posts with label Contingencies. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Contingencies. Show all posts

Friday, February 3, 2012

Strategic Planning Analogy #435: We’re In This Together


THE STORY
Back between December 3, 2006 and March 6, 2007, Menu Foods was manufacturing dog and cat food using imported wheat gluten from China. This wheat gluten was a thickening agent used in the manufacturing of the gravy for the dog and cat food.

Unfortunately, this wheat gluten was not pure wheat gluten. It included melamine, a chemical to make the gluten appear to have more protein. It also included cyanuric acid, a disinfectant. This tainted gluten started causing dogs and cats to die from kidney failure.

As a result, Menu Foods needed to issue a recall on these cat and dog food products. Since Menu Foods was a contract manufacturer for other brands, they had to list all of those brands in their recall notice.

As it turns out, Menu Foods was manufacturing pet food products for nearly every private label (store) brand in North America, including Wal-Mart, Kroger and Safeway. In fact, 17 of the top 20 retailers were selling their store brand pet product using items made by Menu Foods.

Some of the premier name-brand manufactures also put their labels on products made by Menu Foods, including Iams, Eukanuba, and Nutro. In total, the recall encompassed dog food products under 51 brand names and cat food under 42 brand names.

Many consumers were shocked to discover that the majority of the brands of pet food they had to choose from were coming out of the same factory. People started asking themselves, “Why should I care about what brand of pet food I choose if most of the brands come from the same factory?” Many switched to the few brands which did not use Menu Foods and they never went back.

And what about the brand “Menu Foods”? If you go on the internet, you’ll find that its brand name is now “Simmons Foods.” Menu Foods is never mentioned. I guess that Menu Foods was a brand name that lost its value. Apparently, people still cared about that brand (and not favorably).

THE ANALOGY
We live in a world where outsourcing is a way of life. It seems like there is nothing immune from outsourcing. The story talks about outsourcing of manufacturing. But companies also outsource functions like distribution, sales, customer service, installation, human resources, payroll and just about anything else.

Outsourcing can look great on a computer spreadsheet full of numbers. However, the more of your business you outsource, the less control you have over all the inputs to that spreadsheet. If one of your partners fails to deliver as desired, your carefully created spreadsheet becomes worthless. All it took was a poor choice in outsourcing of wheat gluten at Menu Foods to create a public relations disaster for dozens of pet food brands who outsourced to Menu.

Outsourcing increases our dependence upon the decisions of others. Yet in most companies, strategic planning focuses almost exclusively on one’s own company’s actions. Unless our planning takes a broader perspective to include those in our outsourcing family, we will not be properly planning for our future. We will be increasing the likelihood of falling victim to a Menu Foods type of disaster.

THE PRINCIPLE
The question then becomes, “How do I properly conduct strategic planning in an outsourced world?” The principles basically come down to three words—control, communication, and contingencies.

1. Control
In an outsourced world, you no longer own very much of the process. However, just because you do not “own” the process does not mean you cannot “control” the process. The beauty is that as long as you have control, you do not need to own.

Look at Apple. Apple does not own the manufacturer of the ipod, but it tightly controls the design and the expectations around the output from the manufacturer. Apple does not own the rights to the music, but it tightly controls how the music is presented, how it is accessed, and what the prices will be. Apple made sure that each part of the entire music system worked exactly how it wanted to work, whether it owned it or not. As a result, the strategy worked brilliantly.

In developing a strategic plan in an outsourced world, one of the most important tasks is to determine the key elements of success. What is the position you are trying to own in the marketplace? What is your point of distinction/superiority which will cause people to prefer you over the alternatives? Which elements reinforce this position?

Once you make that determination, the next step is to build into your strategic plan a way to control those elements throughout your entire network, whether you own them or not. For example, if quality is important, then find ways to control the quality throughout the entire network.

Control can be achieved in a number of ways. You can place high expectations in the contracts with your partners on these critical elements with severe penalties if not met. You can demand the ability to inspect their premises for compliance. You can limit your choice of partners only to those with a shared vision (rather than just basing the decision on lowest price).

For example, Sears wanted its Kenmore appliances to be known for innovation. Therefore, Sears set up its contractual arrangement with Whirlpool (who makes a large percentage of Kenmore’s appliances) as follows: Any new innovation developed by Whirlpool must be exclusive to Kenmore for a period of time before it can appear on a Whirlpool appliance. This helped Sears to control its innovation reputation, even when it did not create the innovation.

2. Communication
If you want all of your outsourced partners to support your strategy, then it would help to let your partners in on what that strategy is. These are not just partners in your business, they are partners in your strategy. Therefore, they need to be a part of your strategy communication.

Who do you invite to your strategy sessions? How many of your outsourced partners are present? Are they part of the discussion? Do they get to participate on any of the implementation teams?

Once the strategy is formulated, do you communicate it with your partners? Do they know what is most critical to your success?

A lot of business decisions revolve around making trade-offs. You cannot do it all, so you have to decide what you will focus less on in order to be able to focus more on something else. Your partners make trade-off decisions all the time. If they do not know what is most critical to your strategy, then they might make the wrong trade-offs.

For example, Eukanuba and Iams base their reputation on high quality and health for their pet foods. They associate themselves with veterinarians in order to show how concerned they are with health. They are able to charge a premium price because of that reputation. Menu Foods made a trade-off away from quality and health in order to get the lowest price on wheat gluten. This was the wrong trade-off for Eukanuba and Iams.

The more you communicate with your partners, the more likely everyone will make decisions which support, rather than harm, your strategy.

3. Contingencies
If the automotive industry learned anything from 2011’s tsunami in Japan and flooding in Thailand, it was the need for contingencies. Too much of the outsourcing system rested in just a handful of suppliers. When the tsunami and the flooding wiped out those few suppliers, the whole automotive network came to a screeching halt.

For example, Xirallic is the additive in automotive paint which gives the paint a metallic shimmer. All the major automotive companies use this additive in some of their paints. However, there was only one factory in the world which made this additive. And that factory was wiped out by the Japanese tsunami. It was estimated that car production worldwide was reduced by 600,000 vehicles shortly after the tsunami just because of a lack of Xirallic.

To keep these network shutdowns from happening, one needs to incorporate contingencies into the strategic plan. For example, I worked with a retailer who built about 90% of its stores with fixturing from one company and 10% with fixturing from another company. Why? Just in case anything happened to that company who supplied the 90%, there was a relationship and a plan with an alternative—a built in contingency that was part of the plan.

And if you are the supplier, you may want to consider a plan to diversify some of your manufacturing to multiple locations in order have an alternative if major disasters strike.

Yes, just-in-time and lean manufacturing have benefits, but in the extreme this plan can hurt in times of emergency. Incorporate a little more flexibility into the plan to help avoid the disasters felt by the auto industry in 2011.

SUMMARY
Outsourcing can provide many benefits. It can give you access to better expertise, greater speed and lower costs than if you tried to do everything yourself. However, the more one outsources, the less direct control one has over the outcomes of the network. Therefore, if one wants to achieve strategic success in an outsourced world, one needs to proactively consider the entire network as part of its planning process. In particular, strategic plans should consider:

a) How to increase control over the critical elements throughout the network.
b) How to communicate with the partners so that everyone understands the plan and how they fit into the plan (and what is expected).
c) How to place contingencies into the plan to help avoid disaster when partners cannot live up to their expectations.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Many automakers (particularly those based in Japan) posted severe profit drops in 2011 because of the impact of the tsunami and the flood. If all you do in your negotiations with outsource partners is beat them up to get the absolute lowest price, you may save a tiny bit of money, but turn around and lose all of that (and more) when the network falls apart. Take a broader, more strategic approach with your network. It can save you from big losses (like in the automotive industry) or big embarrassments (like in the pet food industry).

Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Strategic Planning Analogy #288: Bourne to Run


THE STORY
One of my favorite movie franchises is the Jason Bourne series. These movies have some of the best car chase scenes ever filmed.

Typically, Jason Bourne is driving at dangerously high rates of speed on congested city streets being chased by multiple drivers. Jason Bourne is rapidly weaving around traffic and making quick, hairpin turns. He frequently shifts from forward to reverse and back. The action is moving very quickly and there are accidents and crashes all around Jason Bourne. Yet Jason Bourne manages to escape.

Sometimes the action gets so scary that someone in the audience might be tempted to close their eyes during the chase scenes. Just think of what would happen if Jason Bourne closed his eyes during the chase scenes. The chase scenes would end a lot sooner and Jason Bourne would not survive.

THE ANALOGY
These days, the world of business is appears to be coming more like those chase scenes in the Jason Bourne movies. Everything seems to be moving more quickly. You feel like you are being chased by numerous forces out to get you. You feel like you have to continually change the direction you are steering your business. There are business casualties all around you and it seems like you have to act fast in order to avoid becoming a casualty yourself.

Some are using this as an excuse to stop planning. After all, when driving through a fast-paced chase scene, who’s got time for to make a plan?

To me, the idea of operating a business without a plan would be like driving through one of those chase scenes with your eyes closed. Planning provides the sight in order to see your way through to the other side. The faster you drive, the more dangerous it becomes, so your vision becomes even more essential. Hence, planning becomes more essential.

THE PRINCIPLE
The principle here is that rapid change does not eliminate the need for strategic planning. The type of planning being done may need to change, but the function does not go away. In fact, I believe it becomes even more essential. We may need to plan more like Jason Bourne.

I think there are three strategic planning principles to be learned from the Jason Bourne movies.

1. Never Get Lost in the Crisis de Jour.
Every day has its share of crises. Jason Bourne had more than his share in those movies. Everywhere he went there was a new threat to deal with. However, in spite of all those pressures, Jason Bourne never lost site of his primary goal. He was extremely focused and never forgot the big-picture agenda.

Rather than getting lost in the day-to-day threats and car chases, he saw them for what they really were—just a series of obstacles between himself and his ultimate goal. They were not his primary focus. They were just something he had to work through in order to get to “the other side,” where his true objective was.

Jason Bourne did not try to fix or fully finish up every problem thrust at him. That would be a waste of time. In fact, he often left things pretty messed up behind him. He just did enough so that he could put the threat behind him. He never forgot that the plan is not to loiter at the crisis, but to get through so that the larger task can be put back on track.

This should also apply to us. We should never let the daily crisis so overwhelm us that we lose site of the big picture. The goal is not perfectionism on the daily nuisance. The goal should be to find a way to get it behind us quickly, so that we can once again renew the larger journey.

2. Planning is a way of Living for All, Not an Annual Event for Some
The planning mind of Jason Bourne never stopped. He was always planning. He would grab maps, look at train schedules, grab building diagrams, watch things through binoculars, and examine his environment—all the time. He never could shut it off. He was always gathering intelligence, always processing it in his mind.

Jason did not shut his eyes to planning and stop doing it. Quite the opposite—he did it continuously. This doesn’t mean that he was continually changing his goals and visions or changing his business mission. Those tended to remain fairly constant. What changed where the adjustments he had to make to get through the daily crisis in order to get to the other side.

It was a continual exercise in planning the daily detours to get back on track. If you ignore planning, not only is there no daily path, but also no track to get back to. Then you are just aimlessly wandering from one crisis to the next. Without the planning goals, you are like a pinball bouncing around. If you are clever, you can endure longer, but eventually all the balls fall to the bottom and disappear. Planning gives purpose to the way you approach the daily bouncing and lets you find the path to the larger prize.

There is a reason why the car dashboard is inside the car rather than sitting on the desk in your office. Adjustments are made while you are driving, and the information on the dashboard helps you make those adjustments while you are on the move. It would be very impractical to have to drive back home to your office every time you wanted to look at the dashboard.

What does this mean for your organization? First, don’t limit intelligence gathering and analysis to a small block of time once a year. Make it a continual process. Second, get planning out there in the field where the action is happening. Use the field people to continually gather information on what is going on. Use their eyes and ears to gather data.

In addition, feed the information you have in the office to the people out in the field. Make sure their dashboard is with them out there where they have to make adjustments. Help them see the larger picture so that they can work on getting through rather than just bouncing around. It’s easier to give your people freedom to adjust to the pressures of the moment if you are comfortable with their ability to make adjustments which keep your firm on track with the grand strategy.

Strategies and information should not be secrets hoarded from your field personnel. The value increases as it spreads through the organization. Wouldn’t it be great to have all your field people working as strategically as Jason Bourne did—all the time?

3. Have Contingency Plans
With all of the constant motion in your world making each day feel like a car chase scene, it is easy to see how your original plan can get sidetracked. When that happened to Jason Bourne, he did not stop the car and go complain about his problems. No, he just put the car in gear and took a slightly different path.

Jason Bourne lived his life assuming that problems would crop up. As a result, he was always looking for alternative paths out. He wanted to have as many contingency plans as he could. He didn’t wait until the current path was blocked before looking for alternatives. He looked for alternatives before they were necessary.

To quote Jason Bourne:

“I come in here, and the first thing I'm doing is I'm catching the sightlines and looking for an exit…I can tell you the license plate numbers of all six cars outside. I can tell you that our waitress is left-handed and the guy sitting up at the counter weighs two hundred fifteen pounds and knows how to handle himself. I know the best place to look for a gun is the cab of the gray truck outside, and at this altitude, I can run flat out for a half mile before my hands start shaking.”

Contingency planning became natural to him. It should be for us as well. Planning for today’s environment means planning contingencies for the inevitable barriers we will encounter. It needs to be a way of life.

I have a friend who has a brother who worked as an agent for the federal bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms. When his brother was on the job, his life was in constant danger. Preparing for that danger became a way of life. My friend said that it was a little odd spending time with his brother after that, because whenever they were out, his brother’s eyes were watching all the windows, watching all the movements of the people around him, always looking for potential danger and a way out. He couldn’t turn it off. Your people need to have a bit of that attitude in them—always watching and planning contingencies.

SUMMARY
Just because the pace of the business world get faster does not mean that planning becomes obsolete. Just the opposite, it becomes even more critical. It does, however, require a particular type of planning. This type of planning blends a focus on the big picture with continual planning of ways to get through the crisis of the day in order to get back on track to the big picture. The planning is continuous, rather than episodic, and needs to get out into the field where the action is. Finally, it needs to look for contingencies, so that there are fewer crises of the day to deal with.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Jason Bourne was never half-hearted about what he did. He gave it his all and played to win. Not a bad way to go.