Showing posts with label Agile. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Agile. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Strategic Planning Analogy #546: It Depends on Company Fit



THE STORY
To earn money during college, I worked on a landscaping crew. We had two types of mowers: large riding mowers and small trimmer mowers that you had to push. The riding mowers were great on large, open, flat lawns. The push mowers were great around trees, fences and other such objects, where the large mowers wouldn’t fit or cut delicately enough.

The old timers on the landscaping crew always took the easy job of sitting on the large mowers. The college students got the tougher job of trimming around the trees with the small mowers. At least I got a tan and built up some muscles.


THE ANALOGY
Are the big riding mowers better for cutting grass or are the small push mowers better? Well, it depends. If you have a large flat lawn, the large riding mowers are better. If you are trying to trim grass around trees, the small push mowers are better. Each mower is appropriate for one type of job and inappropriate for the other type of job. The trick is to choose the appropriate tool for the job you have.

The same can be said of strategy. Some strategies are more likely to be successful in the hands of large companies. Other strategies are more likely to succeed in the hands of small companies. If you put a strategy into the hands of the wrong company, it won’t work.

That’s why you cannot evaluate strategies in isolation. Most of the time one cannot say “This strategy is universally good” or “This strategy is universally bad.” The better answer is “It depends on what company is executing the strategy.” The same strategy may be great or terrible, depending on who is trying to execute it.

So, just as choosing the right tool matters when cutting grass, choosing the right company matters when executing strategy.


THE PRINCIPLE
This is the second of two blogs looking at what makes a strategy good or bad. The first blog looked at how timing impacts success. This blog looks at how the type of company impacts success.

The principle here is that there needs to be a fit between strategy and those being called to execute it. If the fit is good, then the likelihood of success goes way up. If the fit is poor, the likelihood of success goes way down. Therefore, one needs to choose strategies which align best with who they are.

This would seem to be an obvious principle, but I see it violated all the time. A typical case is when a company in an industry does something successful. Others in the industry see that success and try to imitate it. These imitators think “That company has found a good strategy. I should have a good strategy, so I will imitate their strategy.”


However, just because the strategy worked for that first company does not mean it will work for all of the other companies equally as well. It just may not be appropriate for who your business is. It would be as if your company was like the little trimmer mower who was trying to imitate the strategy which worked for the large riding mower. You won’t succeed, because your company isn’t built for success in that area.

There are many elements which influence whether your business is a good fit for a particular strategy. These elements include:

  • Culture
  • Values
  • Competencies & Expertise
  • Centralized or Decentralize Management
  • Tight or Flexible Controls
  • Access to Resources (Money, Talent)
  • Connections in the Supply Chain
  • Level of Patience on Financial Returns

This list can go on and on. However, to illustrate the principle, I will focus on two elements: Clout and Agility.

Agility
An agile company is a lot like that small trimmer mower. The trimmer mower has the flexibility to cut around all types of obstacles.  It can adjust quickly and make sharp turns when necessary. The same is true of an agile company. It can quickly adjust to lots of obstacles in its path.

Agile companies are well suited to strategies in new spaces where there are a lot of unknowns and where flexibility, speed, and unconventional approaches are keys to success. That is why most of the dramatic disruptions in an industry come from small upstart companies rather than the large status quo firms. The small upstart companies are better suited to having success with the disruption—they are more agile and have less to lose from disruption.

IBM understood this when it tried to invent the PC industry. Management knew that the core of IBM at that time was more like the large riding mower. It was great for mowing down the competition when going after large accounts with large processing needs in established industries. But it was the wrong tool to implement a PC invention strategy. They needed something more agile.

Therefore, in order to make the PC strategy succeed, IBM had to first create a business that was properly fit for the task—something more agile. IBM set up a separate business in a separate location with a culture dis-similar to the rest of IBM. Had they not first set up this separate, more agile culture for the strategy, most experts feel the PC strategy would have been a failure.

Other large companies often try to follow IBM’s example and set up separate, more agile divisions for their start-up strategies. But I’ve seen many of them screw it up by forcing the small division to still use the corporate shared services. The idea is that the shared services will make the start-up more efficient. Instead, I’ve seen the opposite. The start-up is strangulated by all the red tape and bureaucracy from the shared services. They end up becoming less efficient, and worse, less agile. It’s like taking a small trimmer mower and putting a huge engine and seat on it. It can no longer act like a small trimmer mower.

Clout
But small, agile companies are not the best for all strategies. Sometimes clout is more important than agility. As an expert in retail, I’ve been approached by others asking me if a particular retail strategy is good. Sometimes, I respond by saying, “That depends. Is Walmart going to implement the strategy or is it a small upstart?” The reason I say that is because some strategies can only work in the hands of someone with tremendous clout. In the consumer space, Walmart has clout that other can only dream about. So it can implement strategies others cannot.

Since Walmart is typically the largest customer of most consumer products companies, Walmart can ask its vendors to do all sorts of things—and the vendors will do it due to the clout Walmart has with them. Smaller firms would not be able to pull this off.

Walmart’s huge size gives them the scale to do things outside the scope of others. Because they handle so many transactions, Walmart has been able to transform portions of the financial industry. Because they have so many employees, they are now experimenting with reinventing how health care is managed. Size and clout can be your best asset when it comes to some types of strategies, where power is more important than agility.

In an earlier blog, I discussed the story of Clean Shower. Robert Black invented a product that helped clean the soap scum off shower walls. At first, the big consumer product companies wanted to buy him out, but Black initially refused and decided to run his small business on his own.

Unfortunately, his invention was easily copied by big consumer products companies. The consumer product companies used their superior clout in distribution and marketing to get advantageous product placement in the stores and brand preference with the consumers. Black did not have enough clout or resources to keep up with them. Eventually, Clean Shower ceased to exist. For Black, the better strategy would have been to sell out early to the ones who had the clout needed to succeed.

At one time I was trying to pitch a strategy to revitalize Sears. But that was when Sears still had reasonable clout in the marketplace. That clout has since dissipated quite a bit. Sears’ clout has so weakened that I doubt my strategy would work anymore. So was my strategy good or bad? It depends.

Options
Therefore, you have two options when trying to successfully execute a strategy. Either you:

a)      Start by only considering strategies which have a strong fit with what your company is already good at executing, OR
b)      Look for ways to modify your company so that it can become a better fit with the strategy (like what IBM did for the PC).

Although the first option is probably the safest, it may limit you to only small, incremental improvements. If you want to make larger leaps, you may need the second option.


SUMMARY
You cannot just look at a strategy in a vacuum to determine if it is good or bad. You have to look at in within a context. One element of that context is who is executing the strategy. If the fit between what the company is good at and what is needed to win is right, the strategy can be very good. If the fit is wrong, that same strategy can be very bad. Although many factors affect fit, two important ones are agility and clout. Sometimes smaller, more agile companies are better suited to a strategy. Other times, large companies with a lot of clout have a better chance of success. To ensure fit, you can either: 1) Only look at strategies which fit who you are today; or 2) Modify your company to improve the fit.


FINAL THOUGHTS
Strategies are only good if they work out in the marketplace. Therefore, before embarking on a new strategy, make sure you know what your company is capable of. Do you have what it takes to make it work out in the marketplace?

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Strategic Planning Analogy #528: Business Without Brains



THE STORY
Imagine a game in which you are in your backyard and your goal is to shoot ping pong balls at targets in your neighbor’s back yard. The only problem is that there is a high wall between the two backyards so that you cannot see the targets…and, in addition, the targets are constantly moving. Since you cannot see anything, the only way you know you have hit a target is when you hear the ping pong ball bounce off the target.

Therefore, to win the game, you shoot as many ping pong balls in as many directions as possible. When you hear a ping pong ball hit a target, you start shooting even more in that direction until the target moves away. Then you start randomly shooting everywhere again.

THE ANALOGY
That sounds like a relatively stupid game to me. There’s no intellectual challenge. There’s no strategy. It’s just random shooting, hoping to get lucky. You could train a monkey to do that…or program a machine to do it.

Yet this is what modern marketing consists of at many companies. The company sets up its digital business on a web site. Then the company tries a constant stream of experiments with the site to see what works. Colors are randomly changed, the size and placement of boxes changes, prices and offerings randomly change. Text randomly changes. They try everything, everywhere.

With all of this “experimentation” going on, the company “listens” to see if they got any “hits” on the website. If so, they start doing more of what random thing seemed to cause the hit. Eventually the customer moves away from that approach, so the company randomly starts firing experiments in all directions again hoping for the next hit.

You can give this approach all sorts of fancy names like “big data” or “agile” or “digital marketing” or “listening to the customer.” But the reality is that it is little more than that silly game with the ping pong balls. No need to think; no need for strategy. Just program a machine to try a lot of things and listen for hits. It sounds like a rather stupid game to me.

THE PRINCIPLE
The principle here is that although the digital age has had a profound impact on marketing, most of the foundational principles of marketing have not been repealed. They are still valid. And if you ignore these principles, you are doing little more than shooting ping pong balls over the wall. Sure, with today’s technology, you can be more efficient with your randomness (and hear the hits better), but it still is little more than random luck. You may as well quit marketing and put all your money into lottery tickets. It takes about the same level of brainpower and strategy (virtually none) yet is a lot easier.

The only problem is that you can get VC money to make a business out of random experiments, but you cannot get VC money just to play the lottery. Perhaps venture capitalists would have higher success rates if they put their money into lottery tickets. Or MAYBE they should invest in people who still operate by the fundamentals or marketing.

Marketing Principle #1: Successful Companies Have a Reason for Being
Successful companies do not merely exist to make their owners wealthy. They succeed because there is a reason for them to succeed in the marketplace. They are fulfilling a consumer need better than anyone else. By fulfilling an unmet need, they have a reason to exist—a relevancy when it is time for customers to spend their money.

Before starting down the path of a new business venture, smart marketers will ask a series of relevancy questions. If the business idea is not sufficiently relevant, then they do not pursue the venture, for it is most likely destined for failure—because it does not have a reason for being.

Examples of relevancy questions include:

1.     Why would a consumer naturally prefer my product over the alternatives?
2.     What benefits do I provide better than anyone else?
3.     Do customers truly have a need for what I am offering?
4.     For what problem am I offering a superior solution?
5.     Is my solution valuable enough to the consumer to get them to pay me an amount that would provide a proper return on investment?
6.     If I didn’t exist, would I be missed in the marketplace?

Google initially succeeded because they offered a superior way to search the internet. It was different. It was better. Consumers could see the superiority. It was a better solution. In other words, it had a reason to exist—a reason to be successful—a reason to be preferred.

Compare that to a lot of other digital businesses trying to make it in the world today. Thousands upon thousands of these ideas are dreamed up in dorm rooms or on a sofa at Starbucks. They all look about the same and act about the same. There is no talk about superiority, because there is none. It’s still in beta and bull of bugs and won’t be great until version 4.0.  

There’s rarely talk of real benefits or meeting needs in a way people are willing to pay for. And there is rarely talk about why this version would be naturally preferred over the thousands of similar pitches being made in the same space.

Instead they talk about how fast they will be at adjusting and adapting. It sounds to me like they are just shooting ping pong balls over the wall and they think they will win because they can shoot more ping pong balls more often.  

Marketing Principle #2: Successful Companies Own a Position
But even if these people bothered to develop a great solution for an important problem, it is not enough. Others may have as good (or better) a solution for that same problem. In addition to having a solution for a problem, you have to OWN that solution in the mind of the customer. The solution has to belong to you. When the customer encounters the problem, your brand needs to be the one which comes to mind.

Google took its initial superiority in search engines and built a brand which “owned” search in the minds of most customers. By owning search, it became nearly impossible for anyone to take it away.

When I look at a lot of the proposed digital ideas today, I see people going after spaces already owned by someone else. They want to be the next “Facebook” or the next “Apple.” Well we already have Facebook and Apple. As long as they do their job, we won’t need another one.

Don’t attack a space already owned by someone else. That battle rarely leads to victory. Build a position that is different—one that you can own. Imitation may be the most sincere form of flattery, but it is a lousy way to try to win. Followers are never in the front.

How many different games do we need on our smartphones? They all seem to be minor variations on a small handful of themes. Your odds of being the next Angry Birds or Candy Crush are probably worse than if you put your money into lottery tickets.

If you cannot own a position, then you cannot achieve a winning position in the consumer’s mind for that space. And without a position, you have no reason to exist. Owning a position usually requires being early in the game, bringing something meaningful to the game, and out-executing the competition. A lot of companies are competing in the smartphone business, but only Apple and Samsung make any real money at it. Everyone else is a loser in that space because they do not own it.

Marketing Principle #3: Successful Companies Know Why they are Successful
Some of the literature on the “new” way of marketing say it is a waste of time to try to figure out why a particular experiment works. If a blue website sells more than a green one, just accept it and move on.

I’m okay with some of that as it relates to minor tactics. But at some point, one should understand why they are in business and why a customer should prefer them. You cannot strengthen or broaden a position if you don’t understand why it works.

If your only success is due to discovering the advantages of a blue website first, your advantage disappears as soon as everyone else makes their website blue. The advantage is not sustainable.

However, if you deeply understand the “why” of your success, you can use that knowledge to build barriers of sustainability. Apple understands why it is successful. It creates a consumer advantage through “coolness” and a competitive advantage through closed systems. It keeps replicating this over and over again to make Apple ever stronger. And if the superiority in coolness and closed systems lies outside of Apple, as in the case of Beats, they acquire it.

The new marketers praise the value of ignorance—just go with what works and don’t ask why. I beg to disagree.

SUMMARY
Much of what is proposed as “New Marketing” is really “No Marketing.” It is a brainless, strategy-less approach depending upon quickness and luck. The basic laws of marketing still exist. Sure, the execution will need to adapt to the digital age, but the fundamental principles still apply. Successful businesses today still need to worry today about:

a)     Having a reason to exist in the marketplace (superior solution);
b)     Owning their position in the marketplace (differentiation);
c)     Knowing what is the reason for their success (understanding why).

Even in the new digital economy, these are the characteristics of the sustainable winners.

FINAL THOUGHTS
In that ping pong game, the successful “real” marketer would put a door in that wall and design compelling reasons why the targets would be prefer to come into my backyard and/or let me walk into their backyard. This proactive, strategic approach is superior to shooting ping pong balls and hoping for the best.