Showing posts with label Relevancy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Relevancy. Show all posts

Friday, October 26, 2012

Strategic Planning Analogy #473: Multiple Choice


THE STORY
When I was a child in school, I preferred multiple choice tests over true or false tests.  With multiple choice tests, I found it relatively easy to guess when I did not know the answer.  In nearly all cases, the correct answer would be the option that had the most words in it.  So when I didn’t know the right answer, I’d pick the wordiest option.

True or False answers were harder to guess.   You either wrote a “T” for true or an “F” for false.  One was not wordier than the other.  For awhile, I tried to perfect the writing of an answer that looked half-way between a T or an F.  It sort of looked like it could be either a T or an F.   My hope was that the teacher would be biased towards correct answers when grading and that my half-way letter would be interpreted as the correct answer due to that bias.  But that method was not as reliable as the multiple choice guessing method.

 
THE ANALOGY
In the business world, it often seems as if executives look at sales as being like a true or false test.  The question goes something like this:  “Did you get the sale? (T or F).”  And from the point of view of the executive answering the question, this seems logical.

The problem with this approach is that it does not provide any insight into the selling process.  It doesn’t help us answer a variety of essay questions, like:

  1. Why did we get (or not get) the sale?
  2. What would cause us to get more sales?
  3. What is causing us to lose sales?
  4. What approach should I use to get the next sale?
  5. How can we make our sales more profitable?

Worse yet, I think the true or false approach wrongly distorts the way we look at the selling process.  Yes, from the company’s perspective, getting the sale is a true or false event.  However, from the point of view of the potential customer, the event is much more like a multiple choice question. 

The consumer has lots of choices for how to spend their time and their money.  To them, the choice is rarely binary—it is not “Do I buy your product? (yes or no).”  Instead, the question to them is “Which of my many options is the best choice for how I spend my time and money?” 

The alternatives to the consumer are many.  It can be between very similar products such as “Brand X” soup versus “Brand Y” soup.  It can be a choice between related products, like eating soup at home versus going out to eat at a restaurant.  It can also be between vastly different products.  An extreme example could be a young woman’s choice between going back to college or having a baby.

Choices between extremely different options happen all the time.  For example, a teenager may want to be popular at school.  To get there, the teen may consider a number of different options, like spending their money on the latest clothing fashions, or buying the latest technology gadget, or buying drugs. 

The multiple choice answers are quite varied.  And unless you frame the question properly to understand the real problem being solved (“What will make me popular with my peers?”), you will not understand what is going on in the mind of that person when they are making that choice.    For example, if you sell teen clothing, your biggest problem may be in convincing that teen that your clothes will make them cooler with the in-crowd than the latest smartphone. 

That is why it is so important for executives to look at sales as a multiple choice exercise for the consumer.   It helps orient executives towards understanding:

1.      What problems the customer is trying to solve;

2.      What is the vast array of options that can solve that problem; and

3.      How can I make my product become the best answer for that multiple choice question.

And, as I found out as a child, the best multiple choice answer usually has the most words. Or in this case, the customer chooses the answer with the most attributes related to solving the problem.  And you won’t know which attributes are relevant unless you understand which multiple choice question is being asked.

  
THE PRINCIPLE
The principle here is that if you want to increase sales, and do it profitably, you need to have a strategy which makes you the best option to a multiple choice question asked by a large segment of the population.  There are only two ways to create that superiority—natural advantages or bribes.

Natural Advantages
A rational natural advantage occurs when your product or service inherently has features making it meaningfully superior to the alternatives in solving a customer’s problem.  For example, if a consumer has a need for durability in their bicycle, the manufacturer making the most durable bicycle has a natural advantage over others trying to sell to that segment.  It is the natural preferred choice because the durability is a key part of the nature of that bicycle.

Natural advantages come in two varieties:  rational and emotional.  A rational natural advantage would be like that durability in the bicycle.  Durability is a rational excuse for preference.  It can also be rationally shown that the parts of a particular bicycle are stronger and longer lasting and more reliable.

By contrast, an emotional natural advantage occurs when your product or service provides makes consumers feel better about themselves. Usually, that means that your offering provides a superior feeling of self worth over the alternatives.  For example, a status-seeking woman would choose a Louis Vuitton handbag over others because that brand image provides a superior sense of self worth to her.  It’s really not about the durability of the handbag.  It’s the image and reputation of Louis Vuitton which transfers to the owner of the brand, making her feel better about herself.

Sometimes rational and emotional advantages can become intertwined. For example, if you have a movie star known for playing rugged, durable movie roles endorse the bicycle, some of the emotional connection with the actor will transfer to the bicycle, reinforcing the durability advantage.

WARNING: A natural advantage is not the same as a strength.  For example, you may be strong in “quality,” but that is not an advantage if:

a)      There is insufficient demand for quality as a solution with your market; or

b)      Others have a similar level of strength in quality (your quality is not meaningfully superior in the mind of the customer).

Therefore, the goal is not to become strong, but to become different and meaningful.  In other words, a strength must also make your solution superior to alternatives AND relevant in solving the particular problem faced by the customer.

Any efforts in areas which do not lead to difference or relevance are a waste of time.  Therefore, you strategy should emphasize trade-offs in the direction of difference and relevance.

Bribes
If you do not have a natural advantage over the alternatives (or cannot create one), then the only way to sell your product is to layer on incentives, like deep reductions in price or gifts with purchase.  I refer to these added incentives as “bribes.”  In other words, if you cannot find a way to be “better” than the alternatives, then you need to bribe people to choose you by being cheaper or more convenient than the alternatives.

Bribery is the more difficult path to sales, because it is costly and easily neutralized by price-matching.  Look at Apple.  It has created strong natural advantages.  It has created rational superiority in ease of use and features.  It has created emotional superiority with the “Cool Factor” and the pride and self worth which comes from owning the Apple brand (big emotional attachment).  As a result, Apple can sell millions upon millions of units at a premium price.

By contrast, the competition has had difficulties creating natural advantages over Apple.  As a result, the competitors have to sell their products at a significantly lower price than Apple.  In essence, the competitors are bribing people to forgo the natural advantage of Apple because the price differential is big enough to shift the value equation.

Of course, that price reduction is a high price to pay to get sales.  It makes the competition far less profitable than Apple.  Less profitability makes it harder to keep up in innovation.  And if the competition ever starts getting closer to narrowing Apple’s advantage, all Apple has to do is lower its price a little to get the advantage back.

Therefore, the best sales strategy usually revolves around natural advantages rather than bribery.

Relevancy
So how do you create the natural advantages which lead to a rise in profitable sales? Two actions must take place.  First, you need to fully understand which problems people are trying to solve and all the factors going into how they choose amongst the wide variety of alternatives.  In other words, if you want to be the superior option for the multiple choice question, you need to know what the question is and how the person thinks about the solution (e.g., are my teenage clothes creating superior acceptance over smartphones with the peer group?).  Only after taking these steps will you know which strengths are worth pursuing.

Second, the only way to typically become superior in these strengths is to focus on them more than anyone else.  Given limited time, money and manpower, gaining superiority in one area means forgoing superiority in other areas.  It is a matter of trade-offs—do less in a non-relevant area in order to do more in a relevant area. 

The first step tells you what is relevant and the second step makes you relevant.

 
SUMMARY
To the customer, purchase decisions are the result of answering a multiple choice question:  Which alternative best solves my problem or makes me feel better about myself?  If you want the customer to answer that question by purchasing your offering, then you need to provide superiority on the factors most relevant to the problem being considered.  That is best accomplished by determining the natural attributes which contribute to relevancy and then making the proper trade-offs needed to achieve superiority on those attributes.  Otherwise, you are stuck with the weaker option of bribery.

 
FINAL THOUGHTS
Relevant superiority in natural attributes does not happen by chance.  It requires forethought and a focused approach to trade-offs.  That only comes by having a strategy.  So if you want strong, profitable sales, start with a great strategy.

Thursday, March 12, 2009

Strategic PlanningaAnalogy #246: The Dreaded Science


THE STORY
Decades ago, I knew someone who worked in the automotive industry. The company he worked for was having a serious problem: The paint was flaking off the cars not long after purchase. His job was to fix the problem, so that the paint would no longer flake off.

The first thing he did was go to the lab where the paint’s adhesiveness was being tested. He talked to the engineers. They were puzzled, because in the lab, the paint adhered very well. It never flaked off the metal.

So my friend asked them where they got their metal samples to try the paint on. He was told they special-ordered it from an independent metal shop. He examined this special-ordered metal and could see that it was a more refined grade than what was used to build their automobiles.

So the next thing my friend did was get the engineers metal samples which came right off the assembly line. Now, they were testing the paints on the same metal that the paints would go on in real life. As a result of this change, they were able to resolve the problem.

THE ANALOGY
Tests in artificial environments are not always useful in predicting outcomes in the real world. The conditions are often not similar enough to the real world. As we saw in the story, the metal bought from a specialty shop was different enough from the metal on the assembly line to make all of their testing with it useless.

Speaking of useless, there are a lot of people in the business world who characterize strategic planning as useless. I’ve been reading a number of blogs lately from others who talk about strategic planning. The impression I get is that the reputation for strategic planning being a useless waste of time comes from their personal experiences. They’ve seen strategic planning as something that:

a) Takes them away from their important work via off-site meetings; and

b) Has them work on planning exercises that either make no sense to them or seem irrelevant to what they do for a living (too abstract, impractical).

I’ll have to admit. I’ve seen things like that and there is some truth in what they say. The problem, however, is not the idea of strategic planning. The problem is how the strategic planning is practiced.

These people experienced strategic planning like that automotive paint laboratory. The laboratory was isolated from the real world and worked on metal that had no relevancy to the metal on the assembly line. The result was failure. Similarly, many off-site strategy meetings are too isolated from the real world and work on concepts having little to no relevancy concerning how things really get done. Again, the result is failure.

As strategists, we need to put real “assembly line metal” into the hands of the people designing the strategy. Then the strategy will “stick” to the business after the meeting is over, like quality paint.

THE PRINCIPLE
The principle here has to do with relevancy. The more relevant you can make the strategic planning exercises, the more committed the people will be during the exercise, and the more buy-in there will be to the strategy once the exercise is over.

To make sure you are relevant, we will look at two ideas:

1) Use Real Metal in the Lab
Off-site or dedicated strategy meetings are often like laboratories, where you can play around with potential strategic options. Strategic planning work at these meetings tends to come in three forms:

a) Abstract/Conceptual: Mission Statements, Vision Statements, Position Papers, 2x2 Grids, Scenario Development, and so on.

b) Numeric: Mathematical Simulations, Financial Reports and Projections, Regression Analyses, Graphs, Big Fat Books of Numbers, and so on.

c) Problem Solving: Dealing with specific problems facing the company, looking for specific solutions.

All three are important. The abstract provides the context for everything you do, giving general direction as to what is right and wrong for your company. The numeric lets you see how the abstract impacts your output. The problem solving is what actually takes place to make the strategy real in the marketplace.

The problem comes in balancing the mix. The types of strategic planning complained about in what I read tend to be too focused on the first two types of work and not enough on the third.

Let’s face it. If we do our jobs right, the abstract work shouldn’t change that often. Wal-Mart has had essentially the same conceptual strategy for over thirty years—win with a low cost, low price strategy. Sure, the flavor of that strategy changes every once in awhile, but even that doesn’t change all that often. At Wal-Mart, the early flavor of that strategy revolved around distribution excellence. Then it moved to data management excellence. Now it is moving to lowering costs through sustainable environmental practices. As important as it is to get these big decisions right, once you are finished you really don’t need to spend a lot of time on reinventing them at every meeting.

The purpose of the numerical work is to make us more intelligent about what future outcomes might look like. We all know that this is imprecise work. There are too many variables outside our control. Events will continually change. Therefore, why waste time sweating out all the numeric details to deep precision at a strategy meeting? As I’ve said in a prior blogs (here, here, and here), the idea is to only get precise enough to ensure that you are generally going in the right direction. Too much precision can actually cause problems. Just look for three things: Direction (is the trend going up or down), Magnitude (is it moving a little or a lot) and Speed (is it happening quickly or slowly). That is often all the numerical analysis you need to know to make the right strategic decisions.

This leaves problem solving, for real, live problems impacting the company. These are like the real assembly line metal—a practical place to test the stickiness of your strategy. This is where most of the time should be centered. Now you may fear that if too much time at strategy meetings is on practical problems, the meetings will get too tactical and long-term issues will not get proper attention.

My response is that businesses are going to spend most of their time trying to solve problems anyway. It is the sum of all of these little practical action plans (not your words) that ends up being your real strategy in the marketplace. Therefore, if you want all of these actions to represent your strategy, what better place is there for discussing them than at a strategy meeting? This is your best shot at getting actions to match up with strategy.

Not only that, it makes the meetings more relevant to your executives and lets them see how to apply strategy to their everyday problems when the meeting is over. Hence, it’s a win-win for both of you.

Businesses can only focus on so many big projects at a time. As we saw in a prior blog, if all you can accomplish in your meeting is an agreement on which projects deserve the highest priority, you have done a lot, since you have gotten work priory linked to strategic priority.

2) Get out of the Lab
I’ve written close to 250 of these blogs on strategy. Looking back, I have only rarely ever mentioned dedicated strategic planning meetings. Why? The real work is out in the field. If you want to be seen as relevant, go out to where the work is being done and show people how strategy can help them solve their problems.

My automotive friend had another problem to solve. To test the quality of the manufactured metal, the company had to take samples from the assembly line back to the lab. This forced them to stop the assembly line for sample-taking. It was also a timely process back in the lab, causing feedback and corrections to be very slow.

My friend changed the process so that the metal could be tested right on the assembly line in nearly real time. This saved the company millions and millions of dollars.

The more real-time you can be out there in the field, the more valuable you will be, and the better the reputation will be for strategic planning. Don’t just sit in the “ivory tower” dreaming big dreams. Get your hands dirty out in the field.

SUMMARY
Strategic planning has a bad reputation with many in the business world. It is seen as abstract and irrelevant. To ensure that strategic planning gets its proper emphasis and respect in the business, spend most of your time on proving its relevance by using current problems as the basis for strategic discussions.

FINAL THOUGHTS
Economics is called “the Dismal Science” because economists are never in agreement and are usually wrong in their forecasts. It’s just a lot of work by a lot of smart people which gets us nowhere near the truth. If strategists fail to become more relevant, they will go down the same path, becoming “the Dreaded Science.”